Month-to-month building output decreased 0.8% in July 2022, or £114m, in contrast with June 2022.
This follows the 1.4% lower in June 2022. That is the second consecutive lower in month-to-month building output, following seven consecutive months of progress within the sector between November 2021 and Could 2022.
Final month the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics (ONS) mentioned that June’s numbers have been affected by the timing of the royal jubilee financial institution vacation, creating two fewer working days than in Could. [See our previous report here.]
July’s decline in building output was partly blamed on the climate being too good. The ONS mentioned “The nice and cozy climate skilled in July 2022… noticed plenty of amber and purple climate warnings and record-breaking temperatures throughout a lot of the nation. For the development business, working days have been misplaced throughout this time… Companies reported that it was too sizzling to work due to the intense climate circumstances and record-breaking temperatures significantly seen round 18th and nineteenth July.”
Anecdotal proof acquired from returns for the Month-to-month Enterprise Survey for Development and Allied Trades (MBS) and the Enterprise Insights and Circumstances Survey (BICS) additionally suggests rising costs are performing as a brake on orders.
The lower in month-to-month building output in July 2022 got here solely from a lower in restore and upkeep (2.6%) as new work noticed a slight improve (0.3%) on the month.
Public sector new house-building work lower 13.1%, nevertheless – the most important decline of any subsector.
The extent of building output in July 2022 was 2.1% (£300m) above the February 2020 pre-coronavirus pandemic stage; new work was beneath at 1.9% its February 2020 stage, whereas restore and upkeep work was 9.7% above the February 2020 stage.
The affect of value rises within the building business in 2022 continues to see the hole widen between the worth and quantity of building output, as proven within the graph beneath.
Clive Docwra, managing director of property and building marketing consultant McBains, mentioned the autumn in output was about extra than simply an excessive amount of sunshine. “July’s lower in output partially displays falling demand due to growing value of residing pressures, and uncertainty over the UK financial coverage given the competition over who would turn into the subsequent prime minister,” he mentioned.
“It has meant many consumers – from households contemplating low-scale house enhancements to traders and builders considering main new initiatives – held off committing funding.
“Provide bottlenecks are additionally persevering with to affect, particularly with supplies coming from China being affected by the partial or full lockdowns in dozens of Chinese language cities.
“The impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine can be beginning to chunk tougher. Many building corporations have been protected against the will increase in vitality and materials costs as a result of they used ahead contracts for vitality and to pre-purchase supplies and merchandise the place potential, however that has merely delayed pressures that are actually being felt extra intensely.
“To ease the vitality disaster, the development sector would have favored to see the Truss administration assist a serious house insulation programme, which might not solely assist repair Britain’s leaky and energy-inefficient houses and assist reduce payments, but in addition present work for smaller building corporations who’re specifically feeling the pinch at current.”